Football Pool Strategy: Tips, pick advice for how to win NFL Pick 'em Pool Contests in 2021

 Football Pool Strategy: Tips, pick tips and advice on how to win the NFL Pick-'em Pool Contests of 2021

After one year of uncertainty many football fans are now ready to play in the college or NFL pick 'em leagues in 2021. This contest is the most popular. It requires you to predict the winners or spread winners of each NFL game throughout the season. You may also need to give confidence points to your picks. A sound strategy is essential to winning any pool. Here are some tips and advice to help you overcome the odds and compete for prizes in your football pools throughout the year.

TeamRankings is the only site to provide customized picks that increase your chances of winning in football pools. TeamRankings subscribers claim to have won over $3,000,000 in prizes since 2017 using the NFL Survivor Picks, and Football Pick ’em Picks products. It also offers NFL Betting Picks.

NFL Pick 'em Strategy: Tips, advice and strategies to make the best selections

Maximizing your chances to win an NFL pool involves more than just knowing which teams will win each week.

For traditional sports betting, the payout calculation is straightforward. If you lose at least 52.4 per cent of your point spread bets (assuming typical -110 payout odds), then it's a loss. If you wager on all 16 NFL Week 1 games, and you pick only eight winners (assuming the typical -110 payout odds), you will be in the red.

This isn't the case in football pools. If you have a lot of upsets in Week 1, and only eight picks are correct in your pick'em contest pick 'em contest pick 'em contest pick em contest, it is possible to still win the prize and get the highest score of the week. Only your next-best opponent must get seven picks right.

In football pools, your goal is not necessarily to maximize the chances of picking the right picks. Your goal is to score more points than your opponents. This may mean taking some calculated risks.

MORE TEAMRANKINGS: Survivor Pool Strategy

This Football Picks Advice Is a Proof of Its Effectiveness

TeamRankings has been studying sports pool dynamics for over 20 years. We began developing technology in 2005 to find and exploit inefficiencies in the most popular types of football pool.

Since 2014 when we began to survey our Football Pick'em Picks customers, an average of 71 per cent of them have reported winning a weekly prize or season prize. (All subscriber performance data that we collect is publicly available. This data set contains thousands of real-world pool results, which are reported by our customers.

The strategies we have listed below are the backbone of our premium pick recommendations and have proven to work well over time. It is not easy to win a football league, but it can pay off in the long-term.

Free NFL picks by TeamRankings

Here are Four Tips to Win Pick 'Em Pools in 2021

We can sum up all our research into winning football pools in just two words: context matters.

It doesn't take an expert to see that the probability of an NFL team winning (or covering a point spread), is vital information to play in football pools. Although accurate NFL predictions are the best foundation for success, you need to have more than just good predictions to be able to compete year after year for top prizes.

Here are some examples to illustrate what we mean. These are just a few examples of what we mean.

1. The Number of Entries in Your Pool

There is a greater chance that one or a few players will be very lucky in their NFL pool picks. Perhaps they pick favorites and some upsets. Then they get lucky and get all of their upset picks right. You still have to beat these lucky players to win.

Big Football Pools

Your chances of winning a prize will drop if you play too conservatively in large football pools. While you might end up with a score that places you in the top 10 to 20 percent of final standings, you have probably never had a chance to win.

You must take some risks with large pools. This strategy is unlikely to win a prize, and it may result in you finishing in the bottom half. But it doesn't matter. Given the amount of people participating, your chances of winning a huge football pool are extremely low from the start. Even the best pick strategy is not guaranteed to win a huge pool.

However, it is worth it to enter large pools. A huge pool could be won once in 20-25 years, which can still yield a tremendous return on your pool entry fees. All you need is to commit to long-term play and to following a sound strategy, which takes calculated risks.

Smaller Football Pools

In a smaller football pool, however, it may be the case that not many players are lucky this year. Your chances of winning an end to-season prize could plummet if you play too aggressively and make many unexpected picks.

While you might think that it is necessary to make a few bold upset calls each week to distinguish yourself from your opponents, in a smaller pool that can be counterproductive. Our research has shown that picking all the favorites, especially early on in a pool, is often the best strategy for maximising your prize winnings. When you have confidence points you can get more differentiation by giving more confidence in the less popular picks.

It is up to you to decide what level of conservative vs. aggressive pick making makes sense for your pool. Unfortunately, there isn't a single rule. To find out how to solve this problem, we created software that simulates millions upon millions of football pool and tested which picks performed best in each size pool. How to Find the Best Football Picks